Prior to placing this wager, it’s important to know that Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen is 7-0 with a 1.00 ERA at home this season. Seems like an easy choice to hop on the Diamondbacks right? Not so fast. While Gallen has been fantastic at home, his numbers have dipped in June. He allowed 7 earned runs in his first two starts of the month. Gallen has a 3.16 ERA and 1.247 WHIP through 25.2 innings pitched in June. To put this in perspective, Gallen had a 2.15 ERA and 0.770 WHIP through his first 37 innings of the season. Rays starting pitcher Taj Bradley has been electric in his last two starts (2-0 with 19 strikeouts). Bradley holds a 2.67 FIP this season, which is right on par with Gallen (2.58). These two offenses are both amongst the best in the league at hitting right handed pitching (both Gallen and Bradley are righties). The Rays offense has a .340 on base percentage against righties (best in the MLB). The Diamondbacks have the best batting average in the MLB against righties (.266). In terms of the bullpens, the Rays hold the slightly better metrics. This game looks to be a true 50-50 matchup, so we will gladly take the plus money behind the underdogs.

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