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Celtics @ Bucks 7:30pm
Celtics +2.5 (-110)
This matchup features the top 2 seeds in the Eastern Conference. These teams most recently met in Milwaukee back on Valentines Day. That game went to overtime, with the Bucks winning 131-125. In the other matchup earlier this season (played in Boston), the Celtics won 139-118. After this 3rd game tonight, the next meeting between these teams would likely be in the Eastern Conference Finals (pending both teams holding onto the 1 & 2 seeds). This is the 2nd game of a back to back for the Bucks. They played in Indiana last night, and Giannis and Jrue Holiday both logged over 30 minutes. Khris Middleton did not play. The Celtics had the day off yesterday, and are coming off of a loss to the Wizards on Tuesday. It’s worth noting, both of these teams rank top 5 across the NBA in percentage of points off of three pointers. The Celtics are slightly more efficient from beyond the arc, and Boston's offense as a whole grades out higher than Milwaukee. Defensively, the Bucks hold the better metrics. For us, this bet comes down to the Celtics being too talented to pass up as an underdog. They hold the best overall net rating in the NBA by a decent margin. The Celtics are 4-1 against the spread in this spot as a road underdog. Keep an eye on the status of Celtics big man Robert Williams who is listed as questionable. He was able to log 15 minutes in the Celtics last game. Williams presence in the paint is significant in this matchup. We will take the points with the Celtics as underdogs, and we will live with the result whichever way it goes. Our wager is a half unit.

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