We are going to opt to bet the moneyline here rather than laying the points. This game is pretty lopsided with Saints money, which does scare us a bit. However, here are a few things to consider. First, the Falcons have been terrible at home this season. They are 1-6 against the spread, and 2-5 straight up. The Falcons are also 0-3 as a home dog. The Saints have fought through a lot of adversity this season, and with a win, they will have a decent chance to get in the playoffs (need a 49ers loss). Sean Payton certainly has a coaching edge here, and the Saints defense is still amongst the top 10 in the NFL. We like a one unit bet on the Saints to get the win.

The Chargers control their playoff destiny. With a win tonight, they will advance to the postseason. Our pick came down to the offensive side of the ball. The Chargers offense has averaged nearly 35 points over the last 5 games. For the Raiders, yes they have won 3 straight, but the offense has been struggling mightily. It is also worth noting the Raiders 3 game win streak includes wins over the Nick Mullens led Browns, the Drew Lock led Broncos, and the Colts fresh off of a COVID outbreak. We would have loved to get this line at -2.5, but we still feel comfortable laying the 3 points. Justin Herbert posted a near perfect QB rating last time these two teams met. Expect him to play well tonight, and for the Chargers to win this game behind their offense.

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