Here we have a team that has been fantastic as a road underdog (Chargers), taking on a team that has performed poorly as a home favorite (Bengals). The Chargers are 3-1 against the spread in this spot as a road dog. This has been the most profitable spot to bet on the Chargers this season. The Bengals are riding high after blowing out the Steelers last week, the public money is behind them as well. Despite the money coming in on the Bengals, this line has actually moved toward the Chargers over the last 48 hours. We are going to grab the points with the Chargers in what should be a close game.

If you like this pick, go grab it at BetMGM while the hook is being offered. A couple signals we like on the Seahawks in this game. First, this is a buy low spot on a team that has looked terrible in 3 straight weeks. The Seahawks have not covered a game during this stretch, and they caught a lot of public money in those games. Nobody who has bet on the Seahawks during that stretch is lining up to bet them today, the public money reflects that, and that is where the opportunity lies. On the flip side, the 49ers have won and covered in 3 straight games. Today this 49ers team will be without Fred Warner (a top defender in the NFL and the captain of the defense) and Deebo Samuel (one of the top WRs in the NFL and the engine of the 49ers offense). Those are two key injuries, and while it just a WR and a LB, they are core players on this 49ers team. We will take our chances with a home divisional dog, led by Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll.

This play is about fading the Ravens as a road favorite. The Ravens are 1-3 against the spread in this spot. On the flip side, the Steelers have been profitable this season as an underdog (4-2 ATS), and they are 1-0 as a home underdog. This game has a low over/under total (44), meaning points are expected to be at a premium. The look ahead line on this game (prior to the Steelers getting blown out last week) was Steelers +2.5. This is good value, our numbers suggest this line should sit closer to a field goal. Give us the 4.5 points with the home dog for one unit.

Too many points here in meaningful primetime divisional game. The Chiefs have not covered a single game this season as a double digit favorite, and they are 1-5 against the spread at home. Despite all of this, the Chiefs are still being backed by the public. Some books have already moved this line down to +9 or +8.5, signaling slight reverse line movement in a primetime game. This is a night game, so it will be interesting to see how the money comes in throughout the day. Regardless, our numbers suggest this game will be close, so we are going to lock it in. It's worth noting Broncos head coach Vic Fangio has had good success against Patrick Mahomes. In 3 games against a Fangio led defense, Mahomes has only thrown 2 touchdowns.

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