This pick ultimately came down to how far this line has steamed from where it opened. The line opened Cardinals (-3), and then following a COVID outbreak amongst the Packers WRs, the line now sits at Cardinals (-6.5). We don't typically recommend buying points, however, the one exception is if you can move THROUGH a key number. We are able to do that here moving through 7. JJ Watt will be out for the Cardinals, which is a big loss for their defense. It's a short week, which means both teams had limited time to prepare. We are buying a point, grabbing the (+7.5), and hoping Aaron Rodgers can keep this game within a touchdown. 

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