0.75 UNIT PLAY

Tyrrell Hatton Top 20 Finish (+100)

Tyrrell Hatton To Win (+2000)

We’d make a strong argument that Tyrrell Hatton is the best player on the PGA Tour without a win this season. Hatton trails only Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm in strokes gained total. He is also one of the best putters on the PGA Tour (5th in strokes gained putting). Hatton finished 24th at this event last year. He has finished inside the top 20 in 6 of his last 7 events. We are going to split our Tyrrell Hatton wagers into two separate bets. A quarter unit on an outright win, and a half unit on a top 20 finish.
(Pick posted 7/11 at 6:03am via BetRivers)

0.75 UNIT PLAY

Tommy Fleetwood Top 20 Finish (+115)

Tommy Fleetwood To Win (+2100)

Tommy Fleetwood missed the cut at the Travelers Championship in his last event. However, Fleetwood had back to back top 5 finishes in the two events prior to missing that cut. He's finished inside the top 20 in 5 of his last 7 events. Fleetwood ranks 7th on the PGA Tour this season in strokes gained total. He finished tied for 4th in this event last year. Our wager is a quarter unit on an outright win, and a half unit on a top 20 finish for Tommy Fleetwood.
(Pick posted 7/11 at 12:34pm via FanDuel)

0.75 UNIT PLAY

Patrick Cantlay Top 20 Finish (-135)

Patrick Cantlay To Win (+1400)

Patrick Cantlay is in great form heading into this event. Since mid February, Cantlay has played in 12 total PGA events. During that span he has five top 5 finishes, seven top 10 finishes, but Cantlay has yet to land his first outright win of the season. He ranks 1st on the PGA Tour in total driving, inside the top 25 in strokes gained putting, and within the top 5 in strokes gained total. Patrick Cantlay finished tied for 4th in this event last year. Our wager is a half unit on a top 20 finish, and a quarter unit on an outright win.
(Pick posted 7/11 at 12:40pm via FanDuel)

0.5 UNIT PLAY

Xander Schauffele Top 10 Finish (+175)

Our model projects about a 39% probability of Xander Schauffele finishing within the top 10. The implied probability at this +175 price is roughly 36%. A 3% edge may sound small, but it’s enough to warrant a wager for us. Xander Schauffele won this event last year despite shooting 2 over par in his opening round. His approach to the green metrics, and strokes gained putting metrics both rank within the top 6 amongst all players on the PGA Tour. Our wager is a half unit on Schauffele to finish within the top 10.
(Pick posted 7/12 at 9:43am via DraftKings)

0.5 UNIT PLAY

Matthew Fitzpatrick Top 10 Finish (+260)

There are 6 players in the field who caught our eye with a strong track record on this course. Xander Schauffele has a win and a top 10 finish (2022 & 2021). Tommy Fleetwood has a pair of top 5 finishes (2022 & 2020). Justin Thomas has two top 10 finishes (2021 & 2019). Thomas Detry also has two top 10 finishes (2022 & 2021). Lastly we have Matthew Fitzpatrick, who finished 6th last year and 2nd in 2021 (DPWT). Fitzpatrick has been playing very well since the beginning of June. He has three top 20 finishes in his last 4 events. Fitzpatrick is a strong putter (18th on Tour in strokes gained putting), and his metrics are all trending in the right direction. Our wager is a half unit on Matt Fitzpatrick to land his fifth top 10 finish of the season.
(Pick posted 7/12 at 11:34am via DraftKings)